Stevenage U18 vs Newport County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
13º
3º
3
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 58 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 53 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 46 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 35 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 31 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 25 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 20 |
18º
|
39% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 9 |
19º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 3
STV
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STV
3 - 3
STO
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
STV
2 - 4
LOR
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STV
2 - 2
SUS
65%
18%
18%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SUS
1 - 3
STV
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MKD
5 - 0
NWC
66%
17%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NWC
4 - 1
BSU
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 1
NWC
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NWC
0 - 1
CHT
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NWC
3 - 1
ECS
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |