SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs TSV Essen-West 81 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
SSN
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SSN
2 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VFL
1 - 1
SSN
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Essen-West 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 1
DAK
33%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DUS
1 - 1
TEW
76%
14%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
TEW
4 - 2
ERE
21%
21%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 1952 |
AAA
5 - 2
TEW
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |