Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
7º
10
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
FAL
10%
16%
75%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STE
5 - 1
BLA
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STE
3 - 2
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
STE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
QOS
0 - 3
AIR
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
QOS
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
QOS
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 0
BLA
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |