Stenhousemuir vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 1
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
STI
3 - 1
STE
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 1
STE
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 4
LIV
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 2
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
MHE
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
STM
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
HIB
4 - 0
LIV
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |