Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 2
STE
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
39%
24%
36%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
STE
3 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 3
STE
29%
24%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 1
STE
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |