Stenhousemuir vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
6º
40
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STE
1 - 3
LIV
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 1
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
STI
3 - 1
STE
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUF
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 2
EAS
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 2
STI
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |