Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
7º
7
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
STE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
STE
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 0
STE
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
AYR
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
DUM
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
BLA
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
COV
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
COV
0 - 2
LIV
18%
20%
63%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |