Cup 1/32
Global 6-3
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
7 - 2
STE
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 2
STE
61%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
STE
3 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
ICT
24%
23%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 1
BER
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
CLY
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
BER
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
WIC
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BER
4 - 1
STI
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |