Stenhousemuir vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
STE
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STE
4 - 0
BUC
18%
20%
63%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
STE
24%
23%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 0
STE
22%
23%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
STE
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 0
FAL
23%
21%
56%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
KIL
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
CEL
16%
19%
66%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 4
AYR
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |