Stenhousemuir vs Ayr United analysis

Stenhousemuir Ayr United
48 ELO 53
3.2% Tilt 10.1%
3181º General ELO ranking 1914º
29º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Stenhousemuir
25.7%
Draw
41.2%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Stenhousemuir
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.2%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stenhousemuir
-11%
+35%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Stenhousemuir
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2011
PET
Peterhead
2 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
53%
22%
24%
47 48 1 0
19 Mar. 2011
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
50%
24%
26%
47 47 0 0
08 Mar. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Livingston
LIV
20%
25%
56%
47 61 14 0
05 Mar. 2011
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
69%
19%
13%
48 59 11 -1
01 Mar. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
33%
26%
41%
46 54 8 +2

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
58%
23%
19%
55 51 4 0
19 Mar. 2011
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
38%
25%
37%
54 48 6 +1
12 Mar. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
62%
22%
16%
54 48 6 0
05 Mar. 2011
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 5
Ayr United
AYR
40%
26%
34%
53 49 4 +1
01 Mar. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
33%
26%
41%
54 46 8 -1
X