Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
7º
3
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 0
STE
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
AYR
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
STE
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STE
4 - 0
BUC
18%
20%
63%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
STE
24%
23%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
ARB
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
BLA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 2
DUN
12%
18%
71%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
STJ
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |