Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 3
STE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STE
4 - 2
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
STE
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STE
4 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
GLA
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 1
AIR
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
EAS
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 4
ARB
71%
16%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |