Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STE
0 - 0
STR
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
STE
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STE
1 - 3
QOS
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 2
STE
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QOS
5 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 2
ARB
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |