Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
ICT
24%
23%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 4
STE
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 2
STE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STE
0 - 4
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
QOS
6 - 0
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 2
ICT
33%
24%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |