Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
Stenhousemuir vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
AIR
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
STE
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 4
ARB
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
RAI
5 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
STE
2 - 2
DUM
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
HAM
0 - 3
ABE
11%
23%
67%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
STE
87%
11%
2%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 2
ABE
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 4
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |