Stella Maris Douarnenez vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
0.1%
+1
0.8%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.9%
94.9%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.6%
0-4
14.1%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
18.1%
0-5
11%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
13.6%
0-6
7.2%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
8.6%
0-7
4%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0%
-7
4.7%
0-8
2%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
2.3%
0-9
0.9%
1-10
0.1%
-9
1%
0-10
0.3%
-10
0.3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
PFC
1 - 1
LOR
18%
25%
58%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
TOU
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ORL
1 - 2
LOR
23%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIO
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |