FCSB vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
15º
4º
8
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
4º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
51% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
LAS
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STB
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 1
STB
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STB
0 - 1
CSM
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STB
2 - 3
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
UTA
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
UTA
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
UTA
0 - 0
UCL
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |