FCSB vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
4º
30
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
95% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
LAS
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STB
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 1
STB
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STB
0 - 1
CSM
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STB
2 - 3
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
UTA
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
UTA
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
UTA
0 - 0
UCL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |