FCSB vs Sepsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
3º
3º
34
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 0
STB
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 2
STB
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
STB
3 - 2
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
UCL
0 - 0
STB
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
SSG
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SSG
4 - 0
VOL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
SSG
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SSG
0 - 0
UCL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SSG
0 - 1
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |