FCSB vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
STB
4 - 0
UCL
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
FCU
2 - 2
STB
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
FLO
3 - 1
STB
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
STB
4 - 1
FLO
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
STB
5 - 2
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1998 |
PAN
7 - 0
PAN
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1998 |
KAL
0 - 2
PAN
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ION
0 - 1
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
PAN
1 - 0
IRA
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
AOK
0 - 4
PAN
20%
25%
54%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |