Champions League 1/16
Global 4-2
FCSB vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12%
8.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
PET
0 - 4
STB
34%
30%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
STB
5 - 0
OLT
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
GAL
1 - 2
STB
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
STB
4 - 0
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1987 |
STB
1 - 1
FCU
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
MTK
2 - 1
TIM
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
TIM
2 - 0
MTK
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
HSV
4 - 1
MTK
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1977 |
MTK
1 - 1
HSV
47%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
MTK
1 - 0
DTB
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |