Qualif. Champions Final
Global 2-3
FCSB vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
BIH
2 - 4
STB
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1978 |
STB
3 - 1
FCO
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
MON
3 - 0
STB
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1978 |
STB
4 - 0
RES
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
FAR
3 - 1
STB
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
PFC
79%
14%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
MON
3 - 0
REI
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
MON
3 - 0
STB
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
SOC
1 - 2
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |