Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 3-3
FCSB vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STB
3 - 0
CLU
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DBU
1 - 2
STB
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
STB
1 - 1
DTB
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
DTB
0 - 2
STB
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
STB
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ROZ
0 - 3
WAR
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RCH
2 - 1
WAR
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 0
MFK
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WAR
4 - 0
POD
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
MFK
1 - 1
WAR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |