Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
FCSB vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
STB
4 - 2
FCM
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
STB
1 - 1
RAP
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
KPT
0 - 1
STB
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
JIU
1 - 1
STB
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
STB
3 - 1
UCL
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
KPT
0 - 1
STB
51%
21%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |