Champions League Semi-finals
Global 5-1
FCSB vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
OLT
1 - 3
STB
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
STB
2 - 1
DBU
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
STB
5 - 1
GÖT
59%
19%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
1 - 2
STB
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
STB
7 - 0
ASA
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
GAL
2 - 0
RIZ
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
FEN
2 - 2
GAL
56%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
SAR
3 - 1
GAL
35%
30%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
GAL
1 - 1
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
BUR
1 - 0
GAL
28%
30%
42%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |