FCSB vs Derry City analysis


78	ELO	70
21.4%	Tilt	5.8%
633º	General ELO ranking	791º
4º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

76.7%

FCSB

13.1%

Draw

10.2%

Derry City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

76.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%

13.1%

Draw

0-0

1.5%

1-1

5.1%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

13.1%

10.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+15%

-5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches