FCSB vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
STB
3 - 0
PTI
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
STB
4 - 0
ABA
92%
7%
2%
|
79 | 9 | 70 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
STB
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
S04
3 - 0
STB
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STB
5 - 0
SAG
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SWI
0 - 2
CHL
7%
16%
77%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 0
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CHL
1 - 2
BAS
78%
14%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
EVE
1 - 0
CHL
27%
25%
49%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |