Champions League Last 16
Global 6-8
FCSB vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
BVB
4 - 2
STB
38%
23%
39%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1957 |
STB
2 - 2
BRA
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1957 |
DBU
3 - 2
STB
58%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ORA
0 - 3
STB
35%
25%
39%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1957 |
STB
3 - 1
JIU
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
WUP
0 - 1
BVB
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
BVB
4 - 2
STB
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
HAM
1 - 2
BVB
33%
23%
44%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
DUI
1 - 2
BVB
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BVB
2 - 4
F95
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |