Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-4
FCSB vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1992 |
STB
1 - 0
INT
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
BRI
1 - 3
STB
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
3 - 2
STB
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
STB
6 - 0
TIM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
SPO
0 - 3
STB
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
FRE
1 - 2
AGF
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
3 - 2
STB
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
3 - 2
OBK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
LYN
1 - 1
AGF
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |