Staphorst vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
STA
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
STA
4 - 0
GOE
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DVS
1 - 1
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
VVS
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
HHC
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STE
0 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVS
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
TER
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HSC
1 - 1
EXC
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |