Stanford vs California analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stanford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 0
STA
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 1
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
OMC
0 - 1
STA
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
WAH
35%
22%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
California
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
CGB
63%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UCB
4 - 3
CGB
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CGB
3 - 1
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 1
CGB
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |