Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 6-1
Standard de Liège vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
SDL
3 - 0
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 0
SDL
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 3
SDL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SDL
1 - 3
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 1
SDL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
POB
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
RAB
2 - 3
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 3
SDL
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MAK
2 - 3
VAR
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
VAR
7 - 0
FKB
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |