Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-6
Standard de Liège vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
DCM
3 - 5
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SDL
2 - 0
THO
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 0
SDL
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
CER
2 - 1
SDL
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
AND
2 - 0
SDL
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 1
ELC
93%
5%
2%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ELC
3 - 4
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
VCF
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 0
RSO
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |