Europa League 1/16
Global 2-4
Standard de Liège vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
SDL
0 - 1
KFC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
BEE
1 - 3
SDL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
MAC
4 - 0
SDL
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SDL
4 - 3
LOK
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
AND
2 - 0
SDL
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
MAC
2 - 2
WBA
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 2
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
MAC
4 - 0
SDL
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MAC
2 - 0
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1978 |
MAC
3 - 0
BPO
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |