Standard de Liège vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
11º
7º
31
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
28.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
71% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
SDL
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
SDL
1 - 0
KVK
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
24%
24%
51%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 1
CER
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
GEN
23%
23%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
DEN
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 3
ANT
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
KVK
0 - 3
DEN
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |