Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Standard de Liège vs Altay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
SDL
2 - 1
LIE
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
KVM
1 - 2
SDL
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SDL
2 - 2
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ALT
2 - 3
SDL
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
LIE
2 - 2
SDL
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
ALT
0 - 0
FEN
27%
29%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
VEF
0 - 0
ALT
47%
30%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
ALT
4 - 1
ESK
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MER
1 - 0
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ALT
2 - 3
SDL
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |