SL16 FC vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
11º
8º
9
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 43 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 38 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 28 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 28 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 27 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 26 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 24 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
73% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
3 - 1
STL
30%
22%
48%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
OOS
2 - 1
STL
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 0
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
KSK
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
3 - 1
EXC
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNF
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
4 - 0
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
OHL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |