Stamford vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
STA
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
STA
10%
17%
74%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
BIG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
STA
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
STO
57%
21%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
STO
0 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
KID
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
HIT
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIG
2 - 2
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
LOW
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |