Stal Alchevsk vs Naftovyk-Ukrnafta Okhtyrka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Alchevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
STA
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
STA
2 - 3
KRY
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
HOV
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STA
3 - 0
ENE
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TYT
2 - 1
STA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta Okhtyrka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAF
3 - 0
ENE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TYT
1 - 4
NAF
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NAF
1 - 2
HEL
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PSE
3 - 1
NAF
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NAF
1 - 1
KRY
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |