Stal Rzeszow vs Znicz Pruszkow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
10º
8º
25
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Rzeszow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
RCH
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
STA
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
STA
5 - 1
GKS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZNI
0 - 1
STA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
GKS
1 - 1
ZNI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ZNI
2 - 2
PLO
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZNI
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ODR
1 - 1
ZNI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |