Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Stal Mielec vs Holbæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
STA
1 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SLA
0 - 1
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
STA
2 - 1
SZO
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HOL
0 - 1
STA
19%
21%
61%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
GÓR
1 - 1
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HOL
0 - 1
STA
19%
21%
61%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |