Europa League 1/32
Global 1-2
Stal Mielec vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 1
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
STA
1 - 4
ARK
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SZO
2 - 1
STA
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
STA
2 - 0
ZAG
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ODR
1 - 0
STA
56%
24%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 1
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
AGF
66%
18%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
AGF
0 - 1
CEL
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |