Staines Town vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
EAS
4 - 3
STA
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HAY
4 - 0
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
SAL
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
BIL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 2
HAV
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 4
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
FAR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
DOR
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
HOR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |