Stafford Rangers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
RFC
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
RFC
0 - 2
WOR
30%
27%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
2 - 1
RFC
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BLY
1 - 0
RFC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
RFC
1 - 3
HIN
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 2
EAS
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 0
HYD
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
4 - 0
KEN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
6 - 0
TOW
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HIN
1 - 3
ALF
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |