Stafford Rangers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
STA
1 - 0
RFC
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
MOO
0 - 1
RFC
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
DRO
4 - 0
RFC
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
RFC
0 - 0
WOR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
RFC
2 - 2
LAN
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ALF
1 - 1
ASH
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ALF
1 - 2
RED
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
VAU
2 - 0
ALF
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
ASH
3 - 1
ALF
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 4
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |