Stadlau vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadlau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
FAC
3 - 2
STA
78%
13%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
STA
3 - 2
KLI
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
SVR
1 - 1
STA
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
STA
3 - 3
WIE
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
FCW
0 - 0
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 1
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FAC
2 - 0
BAU
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
BAU
0 - 4
KLI
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
SVR
0 - 0
BAU
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
BAU
6 - 1
WIE
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |