Stadl-Paura vs Friedburg / Pöndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
16º
16º
35
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
10 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
SPG
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 0
STA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
OST
19%
18%
63%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UNP
4 - 0
STA
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Friedburg / Pöndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVZ
35%
21%
44%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 2
FRI
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVW
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 4
FRI
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 7
PWD
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -2 |