Stadl-Paura vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
62.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
16º
16º
28
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UNP
4 - 0
STA
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
STM
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 0
STA
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
STA
1 - 5
STU
5%
14%
80%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GDF
9 - 1
STA
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
OST
2 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
OST
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OST
0 - 3
WEL
14%
17%
70%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |