Stadl-Paura vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
STA
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
STA
1 - 0
83%
11%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
STA
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
STA
3 - 1
GRU
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAD
1 - 3
STA
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 2
WEL
32%
26%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
SIE
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
GMU
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
1 - 4
SIE
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 3
DON
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |