Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
6º
4º
10
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Tunisien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
CSS
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 0
STA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
STA
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
CLU
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 3
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
USM
0 - 0
ETO
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ETO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
OLY
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -2 |