Stade Tunisien vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
6º
4º
24
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Tunisien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
USM
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 3
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
STA
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
CSS
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
CSS
57%
27%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
ESP
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
ESP
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASE
0 - 0
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |